Premier League Top Goal scorer Odds: The bookies’ forecast since August


Every time a new season is about to kick-off, a mass of football fans tip certain teams to win the Premier League and even get behind specific sides who could find themselves relegated to the Championship. Another bet which people readily back in the enticing outright markets is for who’ll result the campaign with the hotly-contested Golden Boot.

One avid follower of the Premier League is Footy Accumulators, a site that make efforts to provide tips and recommended bets surrounding England’s top tier on a weekly basis, helped even more by it being backed up through statistics and sensible reasoning.

Non-movers in the Market

The key factor that’s clearly ranked the highest in the bookmakers’ estimations is who’s currently most likely to score the most Premier League goals, as opposed to who they originally backed before the season kicked off.

Things are looking extremely positive in that vein, as they saw Tottenham Hotspur striker Harry Kane as the most likely man to take that desired Golden Boot, mostly due to the fact that he’s finished as top scorer in the last three seasons and continues to grow every year. He was originally given odds of 3/1 before the term kicked off but now sits at an even weaker 4/7 through reaching twenty-three league goals.

It’s strange to give credit to a bookmaker for correctly ranking a player with the third most likely chance of scooping the Golden Boot, but that’s exactly what they’ve done with Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero, who was previously given the third weakest odds of 7/1, only to remain there with odds of 7/2 through netting more times than teammate Raheem Sterling but less than Liverpool’s Mo Salah.

Of all the footballers who were priced up prior to the season kicking off, we worry for anyone who saw Diego Costa at 16/1 as a good price, as he was clearly on the way out of Stamford Bridge, seen as a bit too much trouble by Chelsea boss Antonio Conte, and linked with a return to former club Atletico Madrid almost immediately.

Major shocks

The most exciting success story has been Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah, who was previously seen as a flop when playing a short tenure at Chelsea but has turned his career around at Roma, before absolutely storming his second attempt at success in England. Most bookmakers didn’t even price him up before the campaign started but those who did, offered odds of 66/1 for the Egypt international to top the scorers’ chart, which he has done in plenty of periods, now second for his tally of twenty-two Premier League goals, with his odds massively dropped to 3/1.


It would be wrong not to mention the devastatingly poor drop in form seen by Romelu Lukaku, who moved from Merseyside to Manchester in order to sign for Jose Mourinho, and Alvaro Morata, who was Antonio Conte’s most celebrated Chelsea signing since winning the title last season. Everyone expected them both to be two of the division’s most threatening forwards but that’s been far from the case, with Romelu Lukaku’s 7/2 odds being far from reflected in current odds of 150/1, and anyone who chose to tip Alvaro Morata to win the boot with former odds of 9/1 surely pulling their hair out through his now shocking price of 1000/1 with most bookmakers.